Principal component analysis of the 2010 reversal of core-surface flow beneath the Pacific Ocean
This paper is published after peer review in the Journal of Studies of Earth's Deep Interior (jSEDI).In this paper, we investigate the behaviour of the fluid flow in the Earth's outre core throughout the 21st century. The flow of the liquid iron cocktail in the Earth's outer core generates the geomagnetic field and its rate of change, the secular variation. Assuming that magnetic diffusion is negligible on timescales shorter than 100 years, we can invert SV observations from ground observatories and geomagnetic satellites for models of the fluid flow at the top of the core. We investigate core-surface flow, modelled from observations of SV from 1997 to 2025. Historically, the core-surface flow has been predominantly westward, as required to maintain a westward-drifting magnetic field, which is associated with a planetary gyre of westward flow, offset from the Earth’s rotation axis. This gyre does not affect the flow in the equatorial Pacific, and we find that the flow here changes in 2010 from weakly westward to strongly eastward. Our model suggest that the Pacific eastwards flow has been weakening since 2020. The rise of the strong eastward flow in the Pacific is contemporary with a change in behaviour in the inner core, as observed from geodesy and seismology, and we hypothesise that these changes in the deep interior triggered the inferred changes in flow beneath the Pacific.
Madsen, Frederik Dahl
May 06, 2026
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Geodynamo simulations spanning millennia in the physical conditions of Earth's core
A geodynamo simulation is presented where the Earth's core density, rotation rate, convective power and electrical conductivity are matched, while viscous losses are maintained minor in the force balance and power budget. Improving over earlier preliminary calculations, the simulation is integrated over near 1700 years in physical time, and realistically renders the time scale range between interannual hydromagnetic waves and secular convective motions. The solution has been obtained by gradually approaching these conditions along a path in model parameter space. A quasi-geostrophic, magneto-Archimedes-Coriolis (QG-MAC) force balance is confirmed, with the characteristic length scale of the system remaining near the planetary scale. Without the need for extrapolation, the morphology, variations and dynamics of the velocity, convective density anomaly and magnetic fields are in excellent quantitative agreement with geomagnetic and geodetic observations supplied over the past centuries by navigation, observatories and satellites. In particular, the simulation reveals the contribution of interdecadal magneto-Coriolis waves to geomagnetic variations in the vicinity of 60-yr periods. This direct validation of the convective geodynamo paradigm additionally offers a quantitative and first principle-based physical link between the observable signals and deep Earth geodynamic parameters. The model confirms that a convective power (or Ohmic dissipation) level near 3 TW is needed to account for the observed geomagnetic variations, and that the top of the core should be convectively neutral or unstable. Explaining the core-originated interannual to decadal variations of the length of day through electromagnetic core-mantle coupling requires a lower mantle conductance on the order of 10^9 S. It may also become possible to constrain the outer core electrical conductivity from the observed patterns of interannual magneto-Coriolis waves. Finally, the simulation can be considered a reliable source of prior information for solving geomagnetic inverse and prediction problems.
Aubert, Julien
May 05, 2026
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